Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
