Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Ceara win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
