Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Ceara win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
