SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bahia win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Gremio has a probability of 30.49% and a draw has a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Gremio win is 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.7%).
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Gremio |
42.74% ( -0.38) | 26.77% ( 0.01) | 30.49% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 50.29% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.45% ( 0.11) | 54.55% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.1% ( 0.09) | 75.9% ( -0.09) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% ( -0.14) | 25.28% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.96% ( -0.2) | 60.04% ( 0.2) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.31% ( 0.33) | 32.7% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.75% ( 0.37) | 69.25% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahia | Draw | Gremio |
| 1-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.38% Total : 42.73% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.59% Total : 30.49% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Botafogo | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 30 |
| 2 | Gremio | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 23 |
| 3 | FlamengoFlamengo | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | PalmeirasPalmeiras | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 22 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | InternacionalInternacional | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 20 |
| 8 | BragantinoBragantino | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 20 |
| 9 | FortalezaFortaleza | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 20 |
| 10 | Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 |
| 11 | Atletico Mineiro | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 19 |
| 12 | Cruzeiro | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 17 |
| 13 | SantosSantos | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Bahia | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Corinthians | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 | Cuiaba | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 12 |
| 17 | GoiasGoias | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 |
| 18 | Vasco da GamaVasco | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 9 |
| 19 | America MineiroAmerica Mineiro | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
| 20 | Coritiba | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 4 |
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