Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.93%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 1-0 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
