Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
