SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Palmeiras |
41.2% ( -0.7) | 27.11% ( -0.2) | 31.69% ( 0.9) |
| Both teams to score 49.75% ( 0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.53% ( 1.04) | 55.47% ( -1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.34% ( 0.84) | 76.66% ( -0.84) |
| Atletico Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.5% ( 0.11) | 26.5% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.31% ( 0.15) | 61.69% ( -0.15) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.68% ( 1.18) | 32.32% ( -1.18) |
