Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Santos had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.
