Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 53.43%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 19.24%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
