SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 54.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 22.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Royal Antwerp win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Royal Antwerp |
54.15% ( 0.25) | 23.68% ( -0.03) | 22.16% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 52.71% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.04% ( -0.12) | 47.96% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.86% ( -0.11) | 70.14% ( 0.11) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.38% ( 0.05) | 17.61% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.8% ( 0.08) | 48.2% ( -0.08) |
| Royal Antwerp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.98% ( -0.27) | 36.02% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.2% ( -0.28) | 72.8% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Royal Antwerp |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.62% Total : 54.15% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.68% | 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.86% Total : 22.16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 75 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 70 | 41 | 29 | 75 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 72 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 59 |
| 5 | GentGent | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 38 | 26 | 56 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 58 | 45 | 13 | 55 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 53 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | Leuven | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 48 |
| 10 | CharleroiCharleroi | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 48 |
| 11 | Anderlecht | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 46 |
| 12 | Sint-Truiden | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 42 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 40 |
| 14 | KortrijkKortrijk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 31 |
| 15 | EupenEupen | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 40 | 75 | -35 | 28 |
| R | Zulte WaregemZulte | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 50 | 78 | -28 | 27 |
| R | KV OostendeOostende | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 76 | -39 | 27 |
| R | RFC Seraing | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 68 | -40 | 20 |
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