SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 17.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Mechelen win it was 1-2 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Mechelen |
62.82% ( 1.98) | 20.16% ( -0.62) | 17.01% ( -1.37) |
| Both teams to score 55.62% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.16% ( 0.48) | 39.83% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.81% ( 0.5) | 62.19% ( -0.5) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.89% ( 0.71) | 12.11% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.33% ( 1.48) | 37.67% ( -1.48) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.28% ( -1.25) | 36.72% ( 1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.49% ( -1.28) | 73.51% ( 1.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Mechelen |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.32)1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.41)4-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.12)5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.81% Total : 62.82% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.16% | 1-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.31) 0-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.38% Total : 17.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Union SGUnion SG | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 44 |
| 2 | Anderlecht | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 36 |
| 3 | GentGent | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 35 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 33 |
| 5 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 31 |
| 6 | Genk | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 31 |
| 7 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 31 |
| 8 | Sint-Truiden | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
| 9 | MechelenMechelen | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 22 |
| 10 | Standard Liege | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | RWD MolenbeekRWDM | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 37 | -15 | 21 |
| 12 | CharleroiCharleroi | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
| 13 | Westerlo | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 17 |
| 14 | EupenEupen | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 15 |
| 15 | Leuven | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 13 |
| 16 | KortrijkKortrijk | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 42 | -30 | 10 |
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