SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Standard Liege | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Mechelen | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | RFC Seraing | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Zulte Waregem | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Union SG | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Club Brugge | 3 | 0 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Union SG |
31.17% ( -0.38) | 25.55% ( -0.13) | 43.29% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 54.45% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.67% ( 0.41) | 49.33% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.62% ( 0.36) | 71.38% ( -0.36) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% ( -0.05) | 29.56% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.42% ( -0.07) | 65.59% ( 0.07) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( 0.42) | 22.71% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.63% ( 0.62) | 56.37% ( -0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Union SG |
| 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.17% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.17% Total : 43.29% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 69 | 30 | 39 | 68 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 65 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 53 | 25 | 28 | 60 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 49 | 36 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | GentGent | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 48 |
| 6 | Westerlo | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Standard Liege | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 46 |
| 8 | Anderlecht | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 42 |
| 9 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 41 |
| 10 | CharleroiCharleroi | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 41 |
| 11 | Leuven | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 39 |
| 12 | Sint-Truiden | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 | KortrijkKortrijk | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | EupenEupen | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 39 | 60 | -21 | 27 |
| 16 | Zulte WaregemZulte | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 41 | 69 | -28 | 24 |
| 17 | KV OostendeOostende | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 63 | -29 | 24 |
| 18 | RFC Seraing | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 19 |
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