SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Standard Liege | Draw | Charleroi |
41.74% ( -0.17) | 24.5% ( 0.2) | 33.75% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.01% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.19% ( -0.93) | 43.8% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.81% ( -0.91) | 66.19% ( 0.92) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% ( -0.47) | 21.07% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.11% ( -0.74) | 53.88% ( 0.75) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.77% ( -0.45) | 25.23% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.02% ( -0.63) | 59.97% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Standard Liege | Draw | Charleroi |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.74% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Union SGUnion SG | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 48 |
| 2 | Anderlecht | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 42 |
| 3 | GentGent | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 38 |
| 4 | Genk | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 20 | 21 | 34 |
| 5 | Club BruggeBrugge | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
| 6 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 32 |
| 7 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 31 |
| 8 | Sint-Truiden | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 27 |
| 9 | Standard Liege | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
| 10 | MechelenMechelen | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
| 11 | Westerlo | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 21 |
| 12 | CharleroiCharleroi | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
| 13 | RWD MolenbeekRWDM | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 21 |
| 14 | Leuven | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 16 |
| 15 | EupenEupen | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 15 |
| 16 | KortrijkKortrijk | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 44 | -32 | 10 |
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