SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Gent |
31.86% ( -0.01) | 24.13% ( 0.05) | 44.01% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.62% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.29% ( -0.24) | 42.7% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.89% ( -0.24) | 65.1% ( 0.24) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.16% ( -0.12) | 25.84% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.19% ( -0.17) | 60.81% ( 0.17) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.4% ( -0.12) | 19.6% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.46% ( -0.19) | 51.54% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Gent |
| 2-1 @ 7.56% 1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.86% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.65% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 44.01% |
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