Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Genk had a probability of 37.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.63%) and 2-0 (5.33%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
