SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 53.8%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Club Brugge |
53.8% ( 0.04) | 22.55% | 23.65% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.36% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.63% ( -0.03) | 41.36% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.24% ( -0.03) | 63.76% ( 0.03) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.63% ( 0) | 15.36% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.85% ( 0) | 44.15% ( -0) |
| Club Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.96% ( -0.05) | 31.04% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.65% ( -0.06) | 67.35% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Club Brugge |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.07% 5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 53.8% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.55% | 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 23.65% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 75 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 70 | 41 | 29 | 75 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 72 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 59 |
| 5 | GentGent | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 38 | 26 | 56 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 58 | 45 | 13 | 55 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 53 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | Leuven | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 48 |
| 10 | CharleroiCharleroi | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 48 |
| 11 | Anderlecht | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 46 |
| 12 | Sint-Truiden | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 42 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 40 |
| 14 | KortrijkKortrijk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 31 |
| 15 | EupenEupen | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 40 | 75 | -35 | 28 |
| R | Zulte WaregemZulte | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 50 | 78 | -28 | 27 |
| R | KV OostendeOostende | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 76 | -39 | 27 |
| R | RFC Seraing | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 68 | -40 | 20 |
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