SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 52%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Anderlecht |
52% ( -0.05) | 22.95% ( 0.13) | 25.06% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.61% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.22% ( -0.66) | 41.79% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.82% ( -0.66) | 64.19% ( 0.67) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.87% ( -0.25) | 16.14% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.43% ( -0.46) | 45.57% ( 0.47) |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.88% ( -0.41) | 30.12% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.74% ( -0.49) | 66.27% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Anderlecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.46% Total : 52% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.94% | 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 25.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 75 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 70 | 41 | 29 | 75 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 72 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 59 |
| 5 | GentGent | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 38 | 26 | 56 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 58 | 45 | 13 | 55 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 53 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | Leuven | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 48 |
| 10 | CharleroiCharleroi | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 48 |
| 11 | Anderlecht | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 46 |
| 12 | Sint-Truiden | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 42 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 40 |
| 14 | KortrijkKortrijk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 31 |
| 15 | EupenEupen | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 40 | 75 | -35 | 28 |
| R | Zulte WaregemZulte | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 50 | 78 | -28 | 27 |
| R | KV OostendeOostende | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 76 | -39 | 27 |
| R | RFC Seraing | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 68 | -40 | 20 |
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