SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charleroi | Draw | Leuven |
48.86% ( 0.01) | 23.48% ( -0) | 27.66% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.24% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.96% ( -0.01) | 42.04% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.55% ( -0.01) | 64.44% ( 0.01) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.62% ( -0) | 17.38% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.21% ( -0) | 47.79% ( -0) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.7% ( -0.01) | 28.29% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.98% ( -0.02) | 64.02% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charleroi | Draw | Leuven |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% 1-0 @ 8.6% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 3.91% Total : 48.86% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 6% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.47% | 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.21% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 27.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 75 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 70 | 41 | 29 | 75 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 72 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 59 |
| 5 | GentGent | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 38 | 26 | 56 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 58 | 45 | 13 | 55 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 53 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | Leuven | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 48 |
| 10 | CharleroiCharleroi | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 48 |
| 11 | Anderlecht | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 46 |
| 12 | Sint-Truiden | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 42 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 40 |
| 14 | KortrijkKortrijk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 31 |
| 15 | EupenEupen | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 40 | 75 | -35 | 28 |
| 16 | Zulte WaregemZulte | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 50 | 78 | -28 | 27 |
| R | KV OostendeOostende | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 76 | -39 | 27 |
| R | RFC Seraing | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 68 | -40 | 20 |
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