Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Vitebsk had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Vitebsk win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torpedo-BelAZ in this match.
