Neman
3 - 1
Torpedo-BelAZ
Rassadkin (43'), Zhukovski (70' pen.), Marusic (89')
Yakimov (53'), Vasilyev (76'), Kadimyan (80')
Yakimov (53'), Vasilyev (76'), Kadimyan (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Yusov (10')
Veloso (81')
Veloso (81')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Neman | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
| 40.97% | 29.03% | 30.01% |
| Both teams to score 43.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
