Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Smorgon win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Smorgon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Naftan win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Smorgon in this match.
Result | ||
Smorgon | Draw | Naftan |
44.32% ( -0.2) | 24.99% ( 0.18) | 30.69% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 56.07% ( -0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.89% ( -0.78) | 47.11% ( 0.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.65% ( -0.73) | 69.35% ( 0.74) |
Smorgon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.72% ( -0.41) | 21.29% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.78% ( -0.65) | 54.22% ( 0.66) |
Naftan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.23% ( -0.37) | 28.77% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.39% ( -0.47) | 64.61% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Smorgon | Draw | Naftan |
1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.55% Total : 44.32% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dinamo Minsk | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 25 |
2 | Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 21 |
3 | Neman | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 20 |
4 | BATE BorisovBATE | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
5 | IslochIsloch | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 14 |
6 | Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Gomel | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
8 | SlutskSlutsk | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 |
9 | Smorgon | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 9 |
10 | FC MinskFC Minsk | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
11 | Naftan | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
12 | Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
13 | BelshinaBelshina | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | -12 | -6 |
14 | Shakhtyor SoligorskSoligorsk | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | -13 |
15 | Energetik-BGUEnergetik-BGU | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -6 | -13 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: