SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Isloch in this match.
| Result | ||
| Naftan | Draw | Isloch |
22.3% ( -0.16) | 24.5% ( -0.39) | 53.21% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 50.37% ( 0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.85% ( 1.36) | 51.15% ( -1.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27% ( 1.18) | 73% ( -1.17) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.32% ( 0.61) | 37.68% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.54% ( 0.59) | 74.46% ( -0.59) |
| Isloch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.83% ( 0.75) | 19.17% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.16% ( 1.22) | 50.84% ( -1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Naftan | Draw | Isloch |
| 1-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.63% Total : 22.3% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.4)2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 9.86% ( -0.07)1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 5.43% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 5.3% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.01% Total : 53.21% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Neman | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | BATE BorisovBATE | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | IslochIsloch | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 | Gomel | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | SlutskSlutsk | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Smorgon | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 9 |
| 10 | FC MinskFC Minsk | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Naftan | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
| 12 | Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
| 13 | BelshinaBelshina | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | -12 | -6 |
| 14 | Shakhtyor SoligorskSoligorsk | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | -13 |
| 15 | Energetik-BGUEnergetik-BGU | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -6 | -13 |
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