SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Minsk | Draw | Gomel |
28.96% ( 0.8) | 26.48% ( -0.13) | 44.56% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 50.41% ( 0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.96% ( 0.89) | 54.03% ( -0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.53% ( 0.74) | 75.47% ( -0.74) |
| FC Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.44% ( 1.09) | 33.56% ( -1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.8% ( 1.17) | 70.2% ( -1.18) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% ( 0.06) | 24.13% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.56% ( 0.09) | 58.44% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Minsk | Draw | Gomel |
| 1-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.96% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.63% Total : 44.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Neman | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | BATE BorisovBATE | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | IslochIsloch | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 | Gomel | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | SlutskSlutsk | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Smorgon | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 9 |
| 10 | FC MinskFC Minsk | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Naftan | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
| 12 | Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
| 13 | BelshinaBelshina | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | -12 | -6 |
| 14 | Shakhtyor SoligorskSoligorsk | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | -13 |
| 15 | Energetik-BGUEnergetik-BGU | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -6 | -13 |
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