SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 68.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Hartberg had a probability of 13.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Hartberg win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Hartberg |
68.81% ( 0.04) | 18.1% ( -0.01) | 13.09% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.92% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.5% ( -0) | 38.5% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.21% ( -0) | 60.8% ( 0.01) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.84% ( 0.01) | 10.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.6% ( 0.02) | 33.4% ( -0.01) |
| Hartberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.91% ( -0.04) | 41.1% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.36% ( -0.03) | 77.64% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Hartberg |
| 2-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.4% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.23% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.18% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.93% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0)Other @ 4.65% Total : 68.81% | 1-1 @ 8.49% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.1% | 1-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.71% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.65% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 1.55% Total : 13.1% |
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