Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 48.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 25.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
