SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 50.66%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Huracan had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Huracan win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Huracan |
50.66% ( 0.15) | 26.99% ( -0.06) | 22.36% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 43.58% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.89% ( 0.15) | 60.11% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.68% ( 0.12) | 80.32% ( -0.11) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.08% ( 0.14) | 23.92% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.86% ( 0.19) | 58.14% ( -0.19) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.28% ( 0.01) | 42.72% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.95% ( 0.01) | 79.05% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Huracan |
| 1-0 @ 14.61% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 50.65% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.06% Total : 22.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | River PlateRiver Plate | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 37 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Defensa y JusticiaDefensa | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | EstudiantesEstudiantes | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 27 |
| 5 | BelgranoBelgrano | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 27 |
| 6 | Rosario CentralRosario | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | LanusLanus | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
| 8 | TalleresTalleres | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 24 |
| 9 | Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
| 10 | TigreTigre | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 | Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
| 12 | Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 20 |
| 13 | Boca Juniors | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Racing ClubRacing | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 | Central CordobaC. Cordoba | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 | ColonColon | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
| 17 | Barracas Central | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 17 |
| 18 | Platense | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 17 |
| 19 | Instituto | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 17 |
| 20 | Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 16 |
| 21 | Sarmiento | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
| 22 | HuracanHuracan | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
| 23 | BanfieldBanfield | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 15 |
| 24 | GimnasiaGimnasia | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
| 25 | IndependienteIndependiente | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
| 26 | Atletico TucumanTucuman | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 14 |
| 27 | Arsenal SarandiArsenal | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 11 |
| 28 | UnionUnion | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
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