SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Boca Juniors |
43.53% ( -4.74) | 27.72% ( 0.79) | 28.75% ( 3.94) |
| Both teams to score 46.7% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.27% ( -0.64) | 58.72% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.74% ( -0.51) | 79.25% ( 0.5) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.23% ( -2.64) | 26.77% ( 2.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.95% ( -3.6) | 62.05% ( 3.6) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.77% ( 2.98) | 36.22% ( -2.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.99% ( 2.9) | 73% ( -2.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 12.77% ( -0.68) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.4)2-0 @ 8.42% ( -1.14)3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.48)3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.83)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.27)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.39)Other @ 1.96% Total : 43.52% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.71% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.98) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.69)0-2 @ 5% ( 0.85)1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.39)0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.4)2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.16)Other @ 1.92% Total : 28.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | River PlateRiver Plate | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 6 | 19 | 34 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Defensa y JusticiaDefensa | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | BelgranoBelgrano | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 24 |
| 5 | EstudiantesEstudiantes | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 24 |
| 6 | Rosario CentralRosario | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
| 7 | LanusLanus | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 22 |
| 8 | TalleresTalleres | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 21 |
| 9 | Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | TigreTigre | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 20 |
| 11 | Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 19 |
| 12 | Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 19 |
| 13 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
| 14 | Racing ClubRacing | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 | Central CordobaC. Cordoba | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 | Platense | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
| 17 | Instituto | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
| 18 | Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| 19 | Sarmiento | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
| 20 | HuracanHuracan | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
| 21 | BanfieldBanfield | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 15 |
| 22 | GimnasiaGimnasia | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
| 23 | ColonColon | 13 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
| 24 | Atletico TucumanTucuman | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 14 |
| 25 | Barracas Central | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 14 |
| 26 | Arsenal SarandiArsenal | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 11 |
| 27 | IndependienteIndependiente | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 10 |
| 28 | UnionUnion | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 8 |
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