Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 54.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Colon had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
