Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Union and Colon.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 51.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Colon had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.
