SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 38.72%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Platense had a probability of 30.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 2-1 (7.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.04%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Instituto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Instituto | Draw | Platense |
38.72% ( -0.03) | 31.06% ( 0.01) | 30.22% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 38.85% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.33% ( -0.01) | 68.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.63% ( -0.01) | 86.37% ( 0.01) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.43% ( -0.02) | 34.57% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.71% ( -0.02) | 71.28% ( 0.02) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.38% ( 0.01) | 40.62% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.78% ( 0.01) | 77.22% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Instituto | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 14.91% 2-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.14% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.72% | 0-0 @ 14.04% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 13.43% 2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 31.05% | 0-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 1.32% Total : 30.22% |
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