SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 40.42%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Platense had a probability of 28.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.39%) and 1-2 (7.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.01%), while for a Platense win it was 1-0 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Platense | Draw | Boca Juniors |
28.67% ( -0.04) | 30.91% ( 0.15) | 40.42% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 38.68% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.39% ( -0.4) | 68.61% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.66% ( -0.27) | 86.34% ( 0.27) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.15% ( -0.27) | 41.85% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.69% ( -0.24) | 78.31% ( 0.24) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.52% ( -0.28) | 33.48% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.89% ( -0.31) | 70.11% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Platense | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.32% 3-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.18% Total : 28.67% | 0-0 @ 14.01% ( 0.21) 1-1 @ 13.35% 2-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.36% Total : 30.9% | 0-1 @ 15.33% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 8.39% ( -0)1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.42% |
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