SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 57.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.43%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Barracas Central |
57.82% ( -0.18) | 25.12% ( 0.03) | 17.06% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 41.01% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.58% ( 0.1) | 59.42% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.21% ( 0.07) | 79.79% ( -0.07) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.41% ( -0.03) | 20.59% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.87% ( -0.05) | 53.13% ( 0.05) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.64% ( 0.25) | 48.36% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.51% ( 0.18) | 83.49% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Barracas Central |
| 1-0 @ 15.73% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 12.43% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 57.81% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.45% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.04% Total : 17.06% |
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