Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 59.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 18.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.