SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Cordoba win with a probability of 38.85%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 29.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Cordoba win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 2-1 (7.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.32%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Cordoba would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Cordoba | Draw | Sarmiento |
38.85% ( 0.75) | 31.24% ( -0.07) | 29.92% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 38.35% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.79% ( 0.06) | 69.21% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.27% ( 0.04) | 86.73% ( -0.04) |
| Central Cordoba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.21% ( 0.52) | 34.79% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.47% ( 0.54) | 71.52% ( -0.54) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.81% ( -0.51) | 41.19% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.28% ( -0.45) | 77.72% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Cordoba | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 15.12% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.84% | 0-0 @ 14.32% ( -0.04) 1-1 @ 13.42% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 31.23% | 0-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.26% Total : 29.91% |
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