SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 46.45%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 24.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Instituto |
46.45% ( -0.26) | 28.84% ( 0.02) | 24.71% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 41.18% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.66% ( 0.07) | 64.34% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.58% ( 0.05) | 83.42% ( -0.05) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( -0.1) | 27.91% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.47% ( -0.13) | 63.53% ( 0.12) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.13% ( 0.26) | 42.87% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.82% ( 0.22) | 79.18% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 15.26% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.6% Total : 46.44% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.96% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.83% | 0-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.06% Total : 24.7% |
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