Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 20
Jun 14, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro
Tucuman
2 - 1
Godoy Cruz
We said: Atletico Tucuman 1-1 Godoy Cruz
Hard to separate both sides due to indifferent results at home for Tucuman and an inconsistent road form for Godoy, even if a four-game unbeaten run from April to early May paints a different picture.
A low-scoring affair should be on the cards, with a stalemate the likely outcome.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 39.26%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 30.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 2-1 (7.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.43%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.
| Result |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
39.26% ( 0.14) | 30.59% ( -0.13) | 30.15% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 39.93% ( 0.3) |
| 32.62% ( 0.36) | 67.38% ( -0.36) |
| 14.48% ( 0.24) | 85.52% ( -0.24) |
| 66.46% ( 0.28) | 33.54% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.82% ( 0.31) | 70.18% ( -0.31) |
| 60.07% ( 0.19) | 39.93% ( -0.19) |
