Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 57.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 20.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a IFK Norrkoping win it was 1-2 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
