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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 50.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 24.32%.
The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Kalmar win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AIK Fotboll | Draw | Kalmar |
50.49% ( 0.48) | 25.19% ( 0.2) | 24.32% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 50.58% ( -1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.98% ( -1.39) | 52.02% ( 1.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.24% ( -1.21) | 73.75% ( 1.21) |
| AIK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.38% ( -0.36) | 20.61% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.83% ( -0.57) | 53.16% ( 0.56) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.71% ( -1.36) | 36.28% ( 1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.93% ( -1.4) | 73.06% ( 1.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| AIK Fotboll | Draw | Kalmar |
| 1-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.58% Total : 50.48% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.85% Total : 24.32% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | MalmoMalmo | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 10 | 21 | 31 |
| 2 | ElfsborgElfsborg | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 9 | 17 | 26 |
| 3 | HackenHacken | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 25 |
| 4 | KalmarKalmar | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Djurgardens IFDjurgarden | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 20 |
| 6 | BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 | Halmstads BKHalmstad | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 19 |
| 8 | IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | HammarbyHammarby | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 | Mjallby AIF | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Varnamo | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | SiriusSirius | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 34 | -20 | 11 |
| 14 | IFK GoteborgGoteborg | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | AIK FotbollAIK | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Varbergs BoISVarbergs | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 5 |
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