SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 52.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a IFK Norrkoping win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kalmar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
52.59% ( 0.09) | 24.61% ( -0.01) | 22.8% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.64% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.9% ( -0.07) | 51.1% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.04% ( -0.06) | 72.95% ( 0.06) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.6% ( 0.01) | 19.4% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.79% ( 0.01) | 51.21% ( -0.02) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.83% ( -0.12) | 37.17% ( 0.12) |
