Both teams have been poor in front of goal recently and it is safe to say a low-scoring affair is on the cards here. That said, we can also see the away side just about getting the better of their hosts to come away with all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 17.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.4%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a South Sudan win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gambia would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.03) 
