The teams come into this one on a decent run of results and both will feel capable of claiming all three points. We anticipate a keenly-contested affair with the hosts managing to secure a narrow triumph come the final whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 13.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.2%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gambia in this match.
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