SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a BG Pathum United win it was 1-2 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | BG Pathum United |
55.06% ( 0.01) | 22.68% ( -0.01) | 22.25% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 56.07% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.44% ( 0.02) | 43.55% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.05% ( 0.02) | 65.95% ( -0.03) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.29% ( 0.01) | 15.71% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.22% ( 0.02) | 44.78% ( -0.02) |
| BG Pathum United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.52% ( 0.01) | 33.48% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.89% ( 0.01) | 70.11% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | BG Pathum United |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% 1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.56% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 55.06% | 1-1 @ 10.65% 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.28% Total : 22.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
| 2 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 22 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 20 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 18 |
| 9 | Brentford | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 16 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 15 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Fulham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 12 |
| 16 | Everton | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Luton TownLuton | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 6 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 27 | -18 | 6 |
| 19 | Burnley | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 4 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 30 | -21 | 4 |
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