AFC Champions League | Round of 16
Aug 19, 2022 at 9am UK
Leo Stadium
Pathum Utd
4 - 0
Kitchee
Kanitsribampen (34'),
Fandi (39'),
Dangda (68'), Thongkiri (87')
Channgom (45+1'),
Fandi (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between BG Pathum United and Kitchee.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BG Pathum United win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Kitchee had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a BG Pathum United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Kitchee win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BG Pathum United would win this match.
| Result |
| BG Pathum United | Draw | Kitchee |
49.13% ( -0.03) | 25.3% ( 0.01) | 25.57% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.44% ( -0) |
| 48.52% ( -0.02) | 51.48% ( 0.02) |
| 26.72% ( -0.01) | 73.28% ( 0.02) |
| 79.03% ( -0.02) | 20.97% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.27% ( -0.03) | 53.73% ( 0.03) |
| 65.1% ( 0.01) | 34.9% ( -0.01) |
