Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 57.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
