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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 53.19%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 25.07% and a draw has a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.64%).
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
53.19% ( 2.84) | 21.74% ( -0.26) | 25.07% ( -2.58) |
| Both teams to score 62.96% ( -1.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.94% ( -1.06) | 36.05% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.84% ( -1.17) | 58.16% ( 1.17) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.28% ( 0.54) | 13.72% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.03% ( 1.05) | 40.97% ( -1.06) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.97% ( -2.36) | 27.03% ( 2.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.61% ( -3.2) | 62.39% ( 3.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.52)2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.64)3-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.27)3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.51)3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.3)4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.1)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.79% Total : 53.19% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.28)0-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.74% | 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.41) 0-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.38)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.32)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.22)Other @ 3.88% Total : 25.07% |
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