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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Macarthur win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 28.34% and a draw has a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.26%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.37%).
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
50.76% ( 4.2) | 20.91% ( -1.09) | 28.34% ( -3.11) |
| Both teams to score 69.36% ( 2.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.97% ( 3.48) | 29.03% ( -3.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.99% ( 4.14) | 50.01% ( -4.14) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.97% ( 2.59) | 12.02% ( -2.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.5% ( 5.22) | 37.49% ( -5.22) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.84% ( -0.02) | 21.15% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.99% ( -0.02) | 54.01% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.57)2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.55)3-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.44)3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.37)4-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.58)4-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.45)4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.37)5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.35)4-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.23)5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.27)5-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.23)Other @ 2.89% Total : 50.76% | 1-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.86) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.55)3-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.23)Other @ 0.59% Total : 20.91% | 1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.67) 0-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.85)2-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.35)0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.66)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.34)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.14)3-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.34% |
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