SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
37.19% ( 0.01) | 24.34% ( 0.01) | 38.47% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.19% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.48% ( -0.04) | 42.53% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.07% ( -0.04) | 64.93% ( 0.04) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( -0.02) | 22.74% ( 0.02) |
