Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 37.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
