SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 61.58%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 19.81% and a draw had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.4%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (5.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Adelaide United |
61.58% ( -0.49) | 18.61% ( 0.17) | 19.81% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 67.27% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.64% ( -0.36) | 27.36% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.06% ( -0.45) | 47.94% ( 0.45) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.23% ( -0.2) | 8.77% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.88% ( -0.51) | 30.12% ( 0.51) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.74% ( 0.06) | 26.26% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.63% ( 0.07) | 61.37% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.64% Total : 61.58% | 1-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.51% Total : 18.61% | 1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 19.81% |
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