Brisbane Roar
5 - 2
Victory
FT(HT: 4-2)
Lawrie-Lattanzio (19'), Brimmer (45+5')
Lawrie-Lattanzio (33'), Broxham (43'), Shotton (79'), Kirdar (86')
Lawrie-Lattanzio (33'), Broxham (43'), Shotton (79'), Kirdar (86')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 42.98% | 26.09% | 30.93% |
| Both teams to score 52.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
